But what if I can't find
my moonstick and I can't remember these silly algorithms and I having a moon
phase information emergency!
First of all, try to stay calm.  Now count the number of days (whole
days and fractions thereof) since 2001 January 1, 0h UT.  Next, calmly
multiply this number by 850.  Then, add to this number 5130. 
Finally, divide this number by 25101.  The number you have now is the number
of lunations (whole lunations and fractions thereof) that have elapsed
since some new moon way back when (in December 2000).  What is so
nice about this algorithm is that it only requires you to remember three number
(850, 5130, and 25101).  Additionally, this algorithm is accurate
beyond belief.  Its initial synchronization with the lunar month is off
by .5769 parts in 25101.  To eliminate this error, just change 5130 to 5130.5769. 
Additionally, the length of the lunar month is matched perfectly to the accuracy
of human knowledge.  The only expected long term drifting will result from
the slowing of the Earth's rotation.
Now for an example.  Lets pretend I am having a moon phase emergency. 
Lets say, one afternoon, I get lost in the woods around Bristol, Florida, USA
and I desperately want to know if the moon will be up before sunset.  Pretend
the date is March 28, 2002.  First I would count the days since 2001 January
1, 0h UT.  I would add 365 (to get from 2001 to 2002) and 31 (for
January) and 28 (for February) and 27 (to get from March 1 to
March 28) and .75 (to get from midnight to about sunset) and 85/360
(for my longitude from UT (which I think I would round off to .25)). 
I would get a total of 452.00 (after rounding as before mentioned). 
Now multiply by 850, add 5130, and divide by 25101.  I would now have 15.510...
.  The meaningful part is the .510... which tells me that the moon is past
full (.500) and should not rise until after sunset.  Oh woe is me. 
I will be caught in the dark.  The excess (.010...) can be multiplied
by 24 to show that the moon will rise about .24 hours after sunset or about
14 minutes.  That's not so bad.  The twilight won't even have wore off
before the moon gets up.  So it looks like everything will be okay. 
Wow, that was close.  (Don't forget that because the moon and Earth
have elliptical orbits, this time can be expected to be off by up to 30 or so
minutes.  Other factors can throw things off too, most notably, extreme
latitudes.  But luckily in this example, latitude is not very high and 14
plus 30 is still within Florida's twilight zone.)
MOON PHASE EMERGENCY:  RESOLVED
And your story can have a happy ending too if you can only remember three numbers,
...
850, 5130, and 25101.
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copyright © 2001 Sean Barton,
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